Bottom Feeders
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And now, introducing the 2003 Southland version of the RPI -- the Really Pathetic Index.
There are 327 college basketball teams in Division I, but were it not for UC Irvine at No. 98, there wouldn’t be a team from the Los Angeles area in the top 100 of the Ratings Percentage Index, the formula used to assist in selecting at-large teams for the NCAA tournament.
So here’s to you, Anteaters, a basin turns its lonely eyes to you.
Not that 18-8 Irvine -- a school that has never played an NCAA tournament game -- has a chance of making it as an at-large team. That typically requires an RPI in the 40s or perhaps 50s.
That doesn’t help UC Santa Barbara either. Despite being in first place in the Big West Conference, Santa Barbara (16-12) has a No. 124 RPI after starting 4-8.
That means the last hoops hope for the Southland to avoid being shut out of the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1984 is for some team -- any team -- to win one of the three area conference tournaments and the automatic NCAA bid that goes with it.
No. 130 Pepperdine (15-12) and No. 225 Loyola Marymount (10-19) will try in the West Coast Conference tournament that begins today in San Diego. (Gonzaga is the favorite.)
In this bleak season, the local basketball hasn’t been at the top of the standings, but at the bottom.
In the Pacific 10 Conference, No. 121 USC (10-16) and No. 162 UCLA (8-18) have been reduced to battling the Washington schools -- imagine, the Washingtons! -- on the final day of the regular season just to qualify for the eight-team Pac-10 tournament next week at Staples Center.
In the Big West, staging its own eight-team tournament next week at the Anaheim Convention Center, the battle for the bottom has been quite entertaining, with close games and upsets left and right.
In the end, No. 235 Cal State Northridge (13-14) and No. 274 Cal State Fullerton (9-18) clinched precious spots ahead of No. 309 Long Beach State (5-21), a team that started the season 1-11, worst in school history.
(No. 288 UC Riverside [6-17] is ineligible for the Big West tournament as part of its transition to Division I, and its record is partly the result of strategic redshirting.)
Even annexing San Diego doesn’t help much. San Diego State (15-11) is No. 74. And recall the University of San Diego, one of the first teams to expose UCLA? The Toreros are No. 99 at 16-11.
But let’s be frank: The only reason any of this is a phenomenon is because of UCLA.
The Bruins have played in the NCAA tournament every season except five since the end of the John Wooden era in 1974-75, carrying the banner alone plenty of times.
But the Bruins have gone bust.
If you had told some of these other coaches they’d win more games this season than UCLA....
“Oh, God, I’d have taken that to the bank,” Fullerton Coach Donny Daniels said.
“There’s only one really strange thing, and that’s UCLA. It’s no different than when Mike Krzyzewski stepped down because of his back at Duke -- and they had Steve Wojciechowski and Cherokee Parks. Right now, it’s North Carolina that’s struggling.... “
In other words, in all likelihood, a temporary blip on the landscape.
UCLA will return to prominence, USC will drop in regularly, along with Pepperdine and perhaps Santa Barbara. Long Beach and Loyola Marymount will make the occasional appearance and Fullerton and Northridge will capture lightning in a bottle again sometime.
Fullerton made its only trip in 1978 and reached the Elite Eight before Arkansas stopped the Titans a step shy of the Final Four. Northridge, then in the Big Sky Conference, made the field in 2001.
Riverside is too new to have been, and the Anteaters -- imagine the darlings they would be with that nickname -- have flirted with the tournament in recent years and need only to win the conference tournament to finally break through.
So what is it with this season?
Southern California, land of skateboards, taco stands and lousy basketball?
“I think it’s probably just what you’d call a kind of aberration,” said UCLA Coach Steve Lavin, no longer someone with much of a vested interest. “I don’t think it’s really indicative of any pattern, other than just happenstance or coincidence that at one time you have so many programs that may not make the NCAA tournament.”
Has there been a talent exodus?
“There was a time, probably, in the early ‘80s through the mid-’80s, where we were losing a lot of players to the Big East or the ACC. But I’d say the last 15, going on 20 years, you can build a case West Coast basketball has been as strong as any other region in the country,” Lavin said. “You look at Arizona’s Final Fours, Stanford’s Final Four, UCLA’s national championship.... This just happens to be kind of an unusual year. But I don’t think it’s any pattern or decline of West Coast basketball.”
The only discernible pattern is ... coincidence.
“Looking at what’s gone on in Southern California, a lot of it comes down to either young point guards or guys breaking in at point guard,” Northridge Coach Bobby Braswell said.
“We’ve been playing with Curtis Slaughter, a 6-7 guy, running the point after losing Markus Carr. I see the Cravens [sophomore twins Errick and Derrick] at USC. Look at UCLA’s point guard problems, and Pepperdine losing its point guard to injury. I just think point guard is such an integral position.”
Some of the changes are part of the cycle of college basketball.
USC lost a class of players as talented as Sam Clancy, Brandon Granville and David Bluthenthal, and it was reasonable for the Trojans to take a step back -- just not this big of a step back.
Then there is plain old bad luck.
Pepperdine, considered a fringe top-25 team at the beginning of the season, lost three starters. Center Will Kimble’s career might be over because of a serious heart condition, forward Glen McGowan had rib surgery, and point guard Devin Montgomery required thumb surgery.
Truthfully? The Waves have done pretty well.
“People always look back at the games you lost that maybe you could have won, but never look back at the games we won and wonder how we won,” Coach Paul Westphal said. “We’ve got a chance [in the WCC tournament]. We’re not favored, but we’ve got a chance.”
Fullerton, emerging from probation after going 5-22 last season, was a bit snake-bitten as well, losing forward Brandon Campbell and center Babacar Camara to ankle injuries and guard Derick Andrew to an eye condition. In addition, center Pape Sow was suspended for more than a month because of a petty-theft conviction after taking a cap from the student store, prompting Irvine students to hold up a giant “Get Out of Jail Free” card when he returned.
Most obviously, as has often been noted, there has been a decline in the Big West since Nevada Las Vegas was a member of the conference in its heyday, when teams regularly appeared on ESPN’s “Big Monday.”
The Big West in those days was sometimes a two-bid or even three-bid conference -- in 1988 and ’90. It will be a one-bid conference for the 10th consecutive season this year.
“Having a great team in the conference raises the bar,” said UC Riverside Athletic Director Stan Morrison, who coached teams from Pacific, USC and San Jose State to the NCAA tournament. “A great team in a league attracts players to the other teams.... We, as a conference, aspire to get multiple teams in again.”
There are other factors at work.
“There’s a trickle-down with kids going pro,” Irvine’s Pat Douglass said. “How many bona-fide pros are there in the Pac-10? How many were there 10 years ago?”
That means even fewer for the Big West, which besides the UNLV stars produced such players as Brian Shaw of UC Santa Barbara, Bruce Bowen and Cedric Ceballos of Fullerton, and Lucious Harris and Bryon Russell of Long Beach State, to name a few. (In addition, Michael Olowokandi of Pacific was the No. 1 pick overall in 1998, two years after UNLV left the conference.)
These days, the best prospects in the conference are the coaches. Douglass won three NCAA Division II titles at Cal State Bakersfield and is mentioned in the UCLA derby because Bruin Athletic Director Dan Guerrero hired him at Irvine. Santa Barbara’s Bob Williams won a Division II title at UC Davis, and first-year Long Beach Coach Larry Reynolds advanced to the Division II Elite Eight twice at Cal State San Bernardino.
Daniels -- whose three consecutive overtime victories in January with Fullerton were little short of miraculous -- was an assistant to Rick Majerus on the Utah team that played Kentucky for the 1998 NCAA title. Braswell is another excellent coach.
A run through a conference tournament could make any of them a star, the savior of Southern California.
Odds are better that Pepperdine or one of the Big West teams will break through than that any upstart will sneak through the Pac-10 past Arizona.
Better to buy your tickets for the NCAA West Regional at the Arrowhead Pond March 27 and 29, and pick a team.
Southern California just might have to adopt one.
*
We’re No. 1(62)
The Rating Percentage Index (RPI) has been used by the NCAA since 1981 to supplement the selection of at-large teams and the seeding of all teams for the NCAA basketball tournament. Barring a local team winning its conference tournament, the Southland will not have a school in the NCAA tournament for this first time since 1984.
1. Arizona
2. Kentucky
3. Texas
4. Oklahoma
5. Florida
6. Georgia
7. Marquette
8. Kansas
9. Syracuse
10. Notre Dame
11. Wake Forest
12. Louisville
13. Duke
14. Utah
15. Oklahoma St.
16. Stanford
17. Missouri
18. Pittsburgh
19. BYU
20. Xavier
21. Dayton
22. Illinois
23. Maryland
24. Cincinnati
25. Mississippi St.
26. Wisconsin
27. St. Joseph’s
28. Memphis
29. California
30. Alabama
31. Creighton
32. Purdue
33. Seton Hall
34. Indiana
35. Arizona St.
36. Michigan St.
37. Auburn
38. Southern Illinois
39. Texas Tech
40. Butler
41. Connecticut
42. Gonzaga
43. Nevada Las Vegas
44. Louisiana St.
45. Weber St.
46. Boston College
47. Colorado
48. Oregon
49. Saint Louis
50. Michigan
51. Minnesota
52. Wyoming
53. Tennessee
54. DePaul
55. Pennsylvania
56. North Carolina
57. Wisc.-Milwaukee
58. Central Michigan
59. Villanova
60. Texas A&M;
61. NC Wilmington
62. Fresno St.
63. Ohio St.
64. Holy Cross
65. Western Kentucky
66. La. Lafayette
67. Manhattan
68. North Carolina St.
69. Charleston
70. South Carolina
71. Illinois Chicago
72. Providence
73. Clemson
74. San Diego St.
75. Georgia Tech
76. Charlotte
77. Virginia
78. Richmond
79. Florida St.
80. Arkansas
81. Troy St.
82. Valparaiso
83. Tulsa
84. Western Michigan
85. Hawaii
86. West Virginia
87. Austin Peay
88. Rhode Island
89. Kent St.
90. St. John’s
91. Mississippi
92. Iowa St.
93. Vanderbilt
94. Fairfield
95. Drexel
96. Rice
97. Baylor
98. UC Irvine
99. San Diego
100. Iowa
101. Mercer
102. Miami Ohio
103. Temple
104. George Mason
105. Georgetown
106. Chattanooga
107. Utah St.
108. Ala. Birmingham
109. Siena
110. Boston
111. Wagner
112. Rutgers
113. Nevada
114. Ball St.
115. Northern Illinois
116. Nebraska
117. E. Washington
118. Stephen F. Austin
119. So. Methodist
120. V. Commonwlth.
121. USC
122. New Mexico St.
123. South Florida
124. UCSB
125. Sam Houston St.
126. Kansas St.
127. Detroit
128. Morehead St.
129. San Francisco
130. Pepperdine
131. Colorado St.
132. Wichita St.
133. SW Missouri St.
134. Davidson
135. Niagara
136. Belmont
137. St. Bonaventure
138. East Carolina
139. Evansville
140. Princeton
141. Washington
142. South Alabama
143. Tulane
144. Tennessee Tech
145. So. Mississippi
146. Iona
147. Murray St.
148. New Mexico
149. Ark. Little Rock
150. Central Florida
151. Loyola Chicago
152. La Salle
153. St. Mary’s
154. Oregon St.
155. Oral Roberts
156. Air Force
157. Akron
158. Appalachian St.
159. Delaware
160. Louisiana Tech
161. New Orleans
162. UCLA
163. Brown
164. E. Tennessee St.
165. Geo. Washington
166. Ohio
167. Northwestern
168. Middle Tenn.
169. Hartford
170. Vermont
171. Miami
172. Winthrop
173. Jacksonville St.
174. Virginia Tech
175. Eastern Illinois
176. Bowling Green
177. IUPUI
178. Texas Arlington
179. Yale
180. Boise St.
181. American
182. SW Texas St.
183. Eastern Michigan
184. Toledo
185. Marist
186. Oakland
187. Denver
188. Idaho St.
189. Hampton
190. Cal Poly SLO
191. Birmingham-So.
192. Old Dominion
193. Pacific
194. Bradley
195. Florida A&M;
196. Harvard
197. Monmouth
198. Montana
199. Quinnipiac
200. Washington St.
201. Santa Clara
202. Rider
203. Penn St.
204. Texas Christian
205. Massachusetts
206. Marshall
207. McNeese St.
208. Samford
209. Charleston So.
210. Northern Arizona
211. Central Conn. St.
212. Delaware St.
213. Houston
214. Wisc. Green Bay
215. Prairie View
216. NC Asheville
217. Maine
218. Northern Iowa
219. Furman
220. Binghamton
221. Wofford
222. Lehigh
223. Georgia Southern
224. So. Carolina St.
225. LMU
226. Tennessee Martin
227. Portland
228. James Madison
229. St. Francis (Pa.)
230. Wright St.
231. Arkansas St.
232. Mississippi Valley
233. Canisius
234. Colgate
235. CS Northridge
236. Jacksonville
237. Northeastern
238. St. Peter’s
239. Elon
240. Montana St.
241. Lamar
242. Duquesne
243. Georgia St.
244. Illinois St.
245. Drake
246. Idaho
247. Farl. Dickinson
248. Central Carolina
249. Bucknell
250. Coppin St.
251. North Texas
252. William & Mary
253. Alabama St.
254. SE Louisiana
255. Howard
256. Liberty
257. St. Francis (N.Y.)
258. Tex. San Antonio
259. Sacramento St.
260. Louisiana Monroe
261. Texas Southern
262. Texas A&M-CC;
263. Stony Brook
264. Indiana St.
265. Lafayette
266. Cleveland St.
267. Hofstra
268. SE Missouri
269. Alcorn St.
270. Centenary
271. Fordham
272. Long Island
273. Eastern Kentucky
274. CS Fullerton
275. IUPU-Ft. Wayne
276. San Jose St.
277. Missouri KC
278. Fla. International
279. Mount St. Mary’s
280. Navy
281. Jackson St.
282. Southern Utah
283. Norfolk St.
284. NC Greensboro
285. Dartmouth
286. Robert Morris
287. Youngstown St.
288. UC Riverside
289. Western Carolina
290. Florida Atlantic
291. Grambling St.
292. Albany
293. Portland St.
294. Stetson
295. Cornell
296. Sacred Heart
297. Virg. Military Inst.
298. Radford
299. Gardner Webb
300. Texas El Paso
301. The Citadel
302. Md. Balt. County
303. Western Illinois
304. Northwestern St.
305. Loyola Maryland
306. High Point
307. Buffalo
308. New Hampshire
309. Long Beach St.
310. Beth. Cookman
311. Tx. Pan American
312. Alabama A&M;
313. Towson
314. Chicago St.
315. Campbell
316. Ark. Pine Bluff.
317. Morgan St.
318. Nicholls St.
319. Army
320. Lipscomb
321. Savannah St.
322. Tennessee St.
323. Morris Brown
324. Md. East. Shore
325. Columbia
326. Southern
327. N. Carolina A&T;
*
(BEGIN TEXT OF INFOBOX)
Looking Like a Shutout
*--* The Southland doesn’t figure to have a representative in the NCAA men’s basketball tournament this year for the first time since 1984. The NCAA Division I tournament appearances by each school and the year of its last appearance: School NCAA App Last App UCLA 38 2002 PEPPERDINE 13 2002 USC 12 2002 LONG BEACH STATE 7 1995 LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 5 1990 UC SANTA BARBARA 3 2002 CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 1 2001 CAL STATE FULLERTON 1 1978 UC IRVINE 0 None UC RIVERSIDE 0 None
*--*
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